COVID swamping Hong Kong, study warns coming weeks will be far, far worse

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COVID swamping Hong Kong, study warns coming weeks will be far, far worse

February 22, 2022 Sigma Mist 0

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HONG KONG, Feb 22 (Reuters) – Hong Kong faces a drastic unfold of COVID-19 in coming weeks, as college researchers predicted new infections may peak at 180,000 each day in early to mid-March, with the Chinese language-controlled metropolis already barely in a position to deal with 6,000 circumstances a day.

Well being authorities within the Asian monetary hub stated infections had been rising “exponentially”, and a backlog in testing meant they had been unable to get a full image.

On Tuesday, they reported 6,211 new circumstances, 32 deaths and an extra 9,369 circumstances that got here up constructive in preliminary checks.

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In a paper titled “Modelling the fifth wave of COVID-19 in Hong Kong”, researchers on the College of Hong Kong stated they up to date their Feb. 10 research to point out the variety of each day deaths doubtlessly peaking at close to 100 by late March, and cumulative deaths doubtlessly rising to round 3,206 by mid-Might.

Lower than two weeks in the past the identical researchers had predicted each day infections doubtlessly peaking at round 28,000 by mid-March with a complete of 954 deaths by the tip of June.

Within the absence of far more intensive social distancing measures, like a city-wide lockdown, “the trajectory of the fifth wave is unlikely to alter considerably from its present course,” the research stated.

Hong Kong has reported that because the begin of February each day infections have surged by round 70 occasions, overwhelming the federal government’s testing, hospital and quarantine capacities, because it makes an attempt to stifle the virus.

The Hong Kong authorities has adopted a “dynamic zero COVID” technique just like mainland China, aiming to eradicate any outbreaks in any respect prices.

House to 7.4 million individuals, Hong Kong already has a few of the world’s hardest guidelines to curb COVID-19. Stringent flight restrictions imply that only a few flights are capable of land whereas most transit passengers are banned.

Inside town, gatherings of greater than 2 persons are banned and most venues, together with colleges, gyms and wonder salons, are closed.

Most individuals are working from residence, below related restrictions to these imposed in 2020, when the pandemic first erupted.

In complete town has reported over 60,000 infections, far lower than different related main cities.

The research anticipated that the variety of contaminated individuals in 7-day isolation may doubtlessly attain over 600,000, whereas the variety of shut contacts in 7-day quarantine may attain 1.8 million, resulting in a considerable disruption in society.

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Reporting by Anne Marie Roantree, Twinnie Siu, Marius Zaharia and Farah Grasp; Modifying by Kenneth Maxwell & Simon Cameron-Moore

Our Requirements: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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